The Expectations Effect

ProspectiveAny given day in in the world there is a car accident involving 4 people. In the accident 2 die and 2 survive. Depending on what our expectations are determines our reaction. If we have high expectations we expected everyone to survive. If we have low expectations, we expected no one to survive.

A person with high expectations is expecting too much. A person with low expectations expects too little. The same event creates two very different reactions, one positive and one negative. Almost every piece of news can be viewed as either  positive or negative, it just depends on our expectations.

These events and our expectations are what make the stock market go up and down. No matter what trading method we use, expectations determines the reaction of markets. If the market has low expectations a bottom pattern is more likely to form. If the market has high expectations, no matter how strong earnings are, the market expects more.

To learn more about the effect of expectations and to learn how to track and read the stock markets expectations, read The Art of Expectations available at Amazon.com right now.


Current Expectations – Low Expectations in a Bear Market

The Expectations Indicator signaled a Bear Market on September 16th, 2011. The Expectations Indicator signaled Low Expectations on October 3rd 2011 . The market is experiencing a Bull move within a Bear Market. Since October 3rd the expectations indicator has signaled Low expectations several times. Multiple low expectations signals are the result of moving from a long term Bull Market to a Bear Market. We should see a large bear move in the market once expectations are signaled for the first time in this newly transitioned Bear Market.

To learn more about how to create and track the Expectations Indicator read The Art of Expectations. What determines a transition from a long term Bull Market to Bear Market and vice versa is revealed in Trading Expectations which is coming soon!